🚨 A Tectonic Shift in the Charts? $EURUSD Momentum Builds as Big Money Moves

Over the past week, something subtle but powerful has been developing on the $EURUSD chart—something sharp-eyed traders should not ignore. Price action is hinting at a deeper story, and institutional behaviour is quietly confirming it.

As price began its move to the upside, long positions rose from 183K to 190K, signaling increased bullish sentiment from the banks. At the same time, short positions only slightly decreased, from 131K to 130K—a small shift, but one that becomes more meaningful in context.

Here’s the twist: the real story isn’t just in what happened this week—it’s in what happened before. The banks started decreasing their short exposure well ahead of the volatility sparked by Donald Trump’s tariff news. In fact, during contract expirations around March 18th, they cut short positions dramatically—from 175K to 129K. That wasn’t a reaction. That was a strategic move, made in anticipation.

This week, we watched $EURUSD rally aggressively into a key monthly supply zone—one we’ve had our eyes on. The price is now pushing up against a massive descending trendline on the monthly timeframe, which remains a formidable resistance level for now.

But here’s where it gets interesting: if that trendline breaks and the monthly supply zone gets taken out, we’re not just talking about a short-term spike. We could be seeing a major momentum shift—a foundational change in how this pair trades in the weeks and months ahead.

What to Watch Next:

• Trendline Break: A close above the monthly trendline would signal strong bullish momentum.

• Monthly Supply Zone: If breached, expect significant continuation higher.

• CFTC Positioning: Institutional reduction in shorts + increase in longs = high-conviction shift.

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In a macro landscape shaped by headlines and uncertainty, following the footprints of smart money gives traders a serious edge. This kind of positioning behaviour from institutions is a leading indicator—not a lagging one.

This may be the beginning of a larger breakout move on $EURUSD—and those watching closely may be first in line when the momentum takes off.